Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shamal win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shamal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.