Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.29%) and 1-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 1-2 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.