Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.27%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 2-1 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.