Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.75% and a win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%) , while for a Al-Sadd win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.