Saudi Pro League Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2026 7.00pm
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal vs Al Najma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.00pm
Al Shabab 3 - 5 Al-Hilal
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Mohammed Kanoo

Al Najma

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.00pm
Al Najma 1 - 3 Al Okhdood
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Lázaro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 86.59%. A draw has a probability of 9.12% and a win for Al Najma has a probability of 4.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Hilal win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (11.37%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4%) , while for a Al Najma win it is 0-1 (1.55%).

Result

Al-Hilal 86.59%
Draw 9.12%
Al Najma 4.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 88.92%
Under 1.5 11.08%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Under 2.5 27.3%
Over 3.5 54.57%
Under 3.5 45.43%
Over 4.5 44.62%
Under 4.5 55.38%

First Half Winner

Al-Hilal 64.66%
Draw 25.7%
Al Najma 9.63%

Team To Score First

Al-Hilal 81.03%
No Goal 2.27%
Al Najma 16.7%

Corners

Over 8 68.61%
Equal 8 9.73%
Under 8 21.66%
Over 9 57.8%
Equal 9 10.81%
Under 9 31.39%
Over 10.5 46.78%
Under 10.5 53.22%

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 1.5 82.84%
Under 1.5 17.16%
Over 2.5 62.14%
Under 2.5 37.86%
Over 3.5 40.23%
Under 3.5 59.77%

Al Najma Goals

Over 0.5 27.46%
Under 0.5 72.54%
Over 1.5 8.32%
Under 1.5 91.68%
Over 2.5 2.42%
Under 2.5 97.58%
Over 3.5 0.71%
Under 3.5 99.29%

Score analysis

Al-Hilal 86.58%
Draw 9.12%
Al Najma 4.3%
Al-Hilal
2-0 @ 11.63%
3-0 @ 11.37%
3-1 @ 7.31%
1-0 @ 7.26%
2-1 @ 6.28%
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 40.01%
Total : 86.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 4%
0-0 @ 2.27%
2-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 9.12%
Al Najma
0-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 4.3%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Nov 7, 2025 5.30pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT