Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.16% and a win for Al-Sailiya had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Sadd win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%) , while for a Al-Sailiya win it was 1-0 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.