Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Al-Sailiya had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Al-Sailiya win was 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.