Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.29%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%).