Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.