Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.12%) and 3-1 (5.95%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.