Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for Al Wakrah had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Al Wakrah win was 1-2 (6.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.