Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 0-1 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.