AFC Champions League
Apr 17, 2026 3.45pm
Alinma Stadium

Al-Ahli vs Johor Darul Ta'zim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Johor Darul Ta'zim

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim has a probability of 28.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win is 0-1 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).

Result

Al-Ahli 47.98%
Draw 23.9%
Johor Darul Ta'zim 28.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.63%
Under 1.5 26.37%
Over 2.5 49.73%
Under 2.5 50.27%
Over 3.5 28.45%
Under 3.5 71.55%
Over 4.5 17.64%
Under 4.5 82.36%

First Half Winner

Al-Ahli 31.41%
Draw 38.34%
Johor Darul Ta'zim 30.26%

Team To Score First

Al-Ahli 49.73%
No Goal 7.76%
Johor Darul Ta'zim 42.51%

Corners

Over 8 55.46%
Equal 8 11.03%
Under 8 33.51%
Over 9 44.41%
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 44.54%
Over 10.5 34.21%
Under 10.5 65.79%

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 43.96%
Under 1.5 56.04%
Over 2.5 20.62%
Under 2.5 79.38%
Over 3.5 7.84%
Under 3.5 92.16%

Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals

Over 0.5 58.36%
Under 0.5 41.64%
Over 1.5 29.42%
Under 1.5 70.58%
Over 2.5 12.17%
Under 2.5 87.83%
Over 3.5 4.79%
Under 3.5 95.21%

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 47.99%
Draw 23.9%
Johor Darul Ta'zim 28.09%
Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 7.84%
3-0 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.26%
Other @ 7.54%
Total : 47.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.9%
Johor Darul Ta'zim
0-1 @ 6.82%
1-2 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 28.09%