AFC Champions League
Apr 17, 2026 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Alinma Stadium
  • Franck Kessié 45'+3' goal
  • Galeno 54' goal
  • Valentin Atangana 63' yellowcard
  • Firas Al-Buraikan 72' yellowcard
  • Merih Demiral 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Majrashi 19' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ager Aketxe 42'
  • yellowcard Ager Aketxe 43'
  • yellowcard Yago César 67'
  • yellowcard Bergson 76'
  • yellowcard Manuel Hidalgo 89'

Al-Ahli vs Johor Darul Ta'zim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Johor Darul Ta'zim

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 0-1 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Al-Ahli 48.75% (+0.78)
Draw 23.73% (-0.17)
Johor Darul Ta'zim 27.49% (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.92% (-0.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.04% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 26.96% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 48.8% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 51.17% (+0.90)
Over 3.5 28.21% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 71.79% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 17.48% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 82.52% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Al-Ahli 28.78% (-2.63)
Draw 40.46% (+2.12)
Johor Darul Ta'zim 30.76% (+0.50)

Team To Score First

Al-Ahli 48.46% (-1.27)
No Goal 7.85% (+0.09)
Johor Darul Ta'zim 43.69% (+1.18)

Corners

Over 8 56.19% (+0.73)
Equal 8 11.13% (+0.11)
Under 8 32.68% (-0.83)
Over 9 45.02% (+0.62)
Equal 9 11.17% (+0.14)
Under 9 43.81% (-0.73)
Over 10.5 34.69% (+0.48)
Under 10.5 65.31% (-0.49)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 43.8% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 56.2% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 20.64% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.36% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.88% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.12% (-0.04)

Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals

Over 0.5 57.6% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 42.4% (+0.76)
Over 1.5 28.36% (-1.07)
Under 1.5 71.64% (+1.07)
Over 2.5 11.48% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 88.52% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 4.47% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 95.53% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 48.76%
Draw 23.72%
Johor Darul Ta'zim 27.49%
Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 12.26% (+0.50)
2-0 @ 9.31% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 5.25% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.18% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.37% (+0.12)
Other @ 7.7% (+0.17)
Total : 48.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 7.85% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.12)
Total : 23.72%
Johor Darul Ta'zim
0-1 @ 6.82%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.23)
Other @ 4.29% (-0.21)
Total : 27.49%