Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Al Najma had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Al Najma win was 2-1 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.