Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 88.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.11% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.6%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 0-1 (1.35%).