Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.