Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.62% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%) , while for a Al-Ahli win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.