Saudi Pro League Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Awwal Park

Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Nassr 1 - 0 Al Ettifaq
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 5.20pm
Al-Ahli 0 - 0 Al Fateh
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw has a probability of 23.68% and a win for Al-Ahli has a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.72%) , while for a Al-Ahli win it is 1-2 (5.26%).

Result

Al-Nassr 57.88% (-0.49)
Draw 23.68% (+0.20)
Al-Ahli 18.49% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.06% (+0.59)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.19% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 21.81% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 55.29% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 44.71% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 32.91% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 67.09% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 20.51% (+0.41)
Under 4.5 79.49% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Al-Nassr 41.91% (-0.05)
Draw 38.02% (-0.03)
Al-Ahli 20.07% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Al-Nassr 62.77% (-0.14)
No Goal 6.4% (-0.05)
Al-Ahli 30.83% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 48.23%
Equal 8 11.64% (+0.07)
Under 8 40.13% (-0.05)
Over 9 37.21% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.02% (+0.06)
Under 9 51.77%
Over 10.5 27.59% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 72.41% (+0.11)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 1.5 55.12% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 44.88% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 29.04% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 70.96% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 13% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 87% (+0.05)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 53.78% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 46.22% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 23.51% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 76.49% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 7.75% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 92.25% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 2.13% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 97.87% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 57.88%
Draw 23.68%
Al-Ahli 18.48%
Al-Nassr
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.38)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.15)
Other @ 12.68% (-0.09)
Total : 57.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.14% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.04)
Total : 23.68%
Al-Ahli
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.49% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.4% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.7% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.81% (+0.13)
Total : 18.48%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Jan 2, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Alinma Stadium
  • Ivan Toney 7' goal
  • Ivan Toney 20' goal
  • Merih Demiral 55' goal
  • Saleh Abu Al-Shamat 77' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Abdulrahman 81' yellowcard
  • Eid Al-Muwallad 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Abdulelah Al-Amri 31'
  • goal Abdulelah Al-Amri 44'
  • yellowcard Nawaf Boushal 46'
  • yellowcard Ayman Yahya 46'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Al-Khaibari 64'
  • yellowcard Abdulrahman Ghareeb 86'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hassan 90'+3'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 20
Feb 13, 2025 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Ali Majrashi 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ziyad Al-Johani 59' yellowcard
  • Ivan Toney 78' goal
  • Ibanez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Sumayhan Alnabit 90'+8' goal
  • goal Jhon Duran 32'
  • redcard Mohamed Simakan 47'
  • goal Ayman Yahya 80'
  • goal Jhon Duran 88'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 88'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Abdulhakim Al Fatil 90'+9'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Bassam Al-Hurayji 90'+9' goal
  • Franck Kessie 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ziyad Al-Johani 28'
  • goal Franck Kessie 57'
  • yellowcard Bassam Al-Hurayji 83'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 90'+11'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 24
Mar 15, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Ibanez 12' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Roberto Firmino 57' goal
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 42'
  • yellowcard Otavio 53'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 68'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 90'+10'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2023 7.00pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT Mrsool Park
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 4' goal
  • Anderson Talisca 17' goal
  • Sadio Mane 34' yellowcard
  • Anderson Talisca 45'+6' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 52' goal
  • Anderson Talisca 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Franck Kessie 30'
  • yellowcard Ali Majrashi 45'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 50'
  • goal Firas Albirakan 87'
  • yellowcard Saad Yaslam 90'+3'
AFC Champions League
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gonzalo Martinez 13' goal
  • Abdulfattah Asiri 55' goal
  • Firas Albirakan 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al-Majhad 6'
  • yellowcard Motaz Hawsawi 78'