Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 81.29%. A draw had a probability of 11.65% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 7.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.2%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.21%) , while for a Al Ettifaq win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.