Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ettifaq win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-2 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.