Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.08% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Quadisiya win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%) , while for a Al Ettifaq win it was 1-0 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.