Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Hazem win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Hazem win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.