Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.89% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shabab win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.