Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.89% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.06%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%) , while for a Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.