Saudi Pro League Gameweek 28
Apr 11, 2026 5.20pm
Alinma Stadium

Al-Ahli vs Al Fateh - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 4.55pm
Al Fayha 1 - 1 Al-Ahli
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Al Fateh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 4.55pm
Al Okhdood 1 - 0 Al Fateh
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Matias Vargas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 71.05%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 12.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 3-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%) , while for a Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Al-Ahli 71.05% (+0.05)
Draw 16.5% (-0.02)
Al Fateh 12.4% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.12% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.72% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 14.28% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 67.02%
Under 2.5 32.98%
Over 3.5 44.34% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 55.66% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 31.29% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 68.71% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Al-Ahli 51.14% (-0.04)
Draw 31.75% (+0.02)
Al Fateh 17.1% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Al-Ahli 68.54% (-0.07)
No Goal 3.29% (-0.01)
Al Fateh 28.17% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 64.12% (-0.07)
Equal 8 10.52%
Under 8 25.35% (+0.06)
Over 9 52.85% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.27% (-0.01)
Under 9 35.88% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 41.77% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 58.23% (+0.04)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 1.5 70.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 44.6% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.4% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.61% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.39% (-0.02)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 0.5 47.02% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 52.98% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 19.03% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.97% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.68% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 94.32% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.46% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.54% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 71.06%
Draw 16.5%
Al Fateh 12.4%
Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.41% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.6% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% (+0.03)
Other @ 23.47% (+0.02)
Total : 71.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.54% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38%
0-0 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 16.5%
Al Fateh
1-2 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 2.87%
0-2 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.38%
1-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 12.4%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Dec 26, 2025 1.05pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Matias Vargas 43' goal
  • Matias Vargas 47' goal
  • Wesley Bruno Lima Delgado 69' yellowcard
  • Wesley Bruno Lima Delgado 70' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Atangana Edoa 22'
  • yellowcard Ali Majrashi 36'
  • yellowcard Enzo Millot 49'
  • yellowcard Waheb Saleh 85'
  • yellowcard 85'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 19
Feb 7, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Ivan Toney 17' goal
  • Saad Yaslam 35' yellowcard
  • Saad Yaslam 39' redcard
  • Ivan Toney 62' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 74' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Al-Majhad 77' yellowcard
  • Ivan Toney 83' yellowcard
  • redcard Hussain Qasim 14'
  • yellowcard Jorge Fernandes 65'
  • yellowcard Saeed Baattia 86'
  • yellowcard Othman Alothma 90'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2024 4.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al-Hasa
  • Saeed Baattia 26' yellowcard
  • Djaniny 55' goal
  • yellowcard Merih Demiral 20'
  • yellowcard Ali Majrashi 49'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 22
Mar 2, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
  • Ibanez 10' yellowcard
  • Ibanez 14' redcard
  • Franck Kessie 63' yellowcard
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 75' goal
  • yellowcard Salem Al-Najdi 27'
  • yellowcard Saeed Baattia 41'
  • goal Cristian Tello 45'+8'
  • redcard Saeed Baattia 89'
  • yellowcard Qasim Lajami 90'+9'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium
  • Firas Albirakan 21' goal
  • Mohammed Alfehaid 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Petros 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Lucas Zelarayan 58' goal
  • Mourad Batna 89' goal
  • Mourad Batna 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mourad Batna 90'+3' goal
  • Sofiane Bendebka 90'+14' goal
  • goal Abbas Sadiq Alhassan 6' (OG)
  • yellowcard Riyad Mahrez 45'+9'
  • yellowcard Merih Demiral 82'
  • yellowcard Ibanez 87'
  • yellowcard Sumayhan Alnabit 90'
  • redcard Merih Demiral 90'+12'