Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.26% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%) , while for a Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.