Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (6.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.