Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.46% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%) , while for a Al Hazem win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.