Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Kholood win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Kholood win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 2-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.