Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Hazem win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Hazem win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.