Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 1-2 (7.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.