Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.07% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Quadisiya win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Al Shabab win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.