Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.