Saudi Pro League Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Al Shabab vs Al Ittihad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 7.00pm
Al Riyadh 1 - 1 Al Shabab
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Yannick Carrasco

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 7.00pm
Al Ittihad 3 - 4 NEOM SC
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Youssef En-Nesyri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Al Shabab 41.51% (-0.03)
Draw 23.06%
Al Ittihad 35.42% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.62% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 16.38% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 63.7% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 36.3% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 40.27% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 59.73% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 24.81% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 75.19% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Al Shabab 33.34%
Draw 36.96%
Al Ittihad 29.7%

Team To Score First

Al Shabab 49.55%
No Goal 4%
Al Ittihad 46.45%

Corners

Over 8 60.42% (-0.47)
Equal 8 11% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.59% (+0.47)
Over 9 48.98% (-0.45)
Equal 9 11.44% (-0.04)
Under 9 39.58% (+0.47)
Over 10.5 38.05% (-0.38)
Under 10.5 61.95% (+0.38)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 1.5 47.27% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.73% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 22.68% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 77.32% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 8.58% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 91.42% (+0.11)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 72.29% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 27.71% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 42.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.63% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.15% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.85% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.06% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.94% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Al Shabab 41.53%
Draw 23.07%
Al Ittihad 35.42%
Al Shabab
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.68% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.3% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.87% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.8% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.36% (-0.08)
Total : 41.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.61% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4%
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.05)
Total : 23.07%
Al Ittihad
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.72% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.41% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.98% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.84% (+0.01)
Total : 35.42%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Dec 27, 2025 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ahmed Al-Ghamdi 16' goal
  • Mario Mitaj 43' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 85' goal
  • yellowcard Majed Abdullah 70'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Matuq Saeed 70'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 84'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 33
May 20, 2025 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)
  • Yannick Carrasco 45'+3' goal
  • Cristian Guanca 67' goal
  • Mohammed Al Shwirekh 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Daniel Podence 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Moussa Diaby 1'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 34'
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 58'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Ahmed Fallatah 86'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 90'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 22, 2025 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Danilo Pereira 17' yellowcard
  • Abdulrahman Al-Oboud 32' goal
  • Muhannad Al-Shanqeeti 35' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 45'+3' goal
  • goal Haroune Camara 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 60'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al-Thani 84'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2024 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Talal Haji 18' yellowcard
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 58' goal
  • yellowcard Riyadh Sharahili 41'
  • goal Habib Diallo 48'
  • yellowcard Majed Kanabah 52'
  • goal Carlos 82'
  • yellowcard Husain Al-Monassar 90'+7'
  • goal Musab Al-Juwayr 90'+10'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2023 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Shabab Al Ahli Stadium
  • Carlos 14' goal
  • Gustavo Cuellar 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ever Banega 61' yellowcard
  • Husain Al-Monassar 73' yellowcard
  • Fahad Al-Muwallad 83' yellowcard
  • Romain Saiss 89' yellowcard