Saudi Pro League Gameweek 33
May 7, 2026 7.00pm
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 3, 2026 5.00pm
Al Shabab 1 - 5 Al-Taawoun
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Yannick Carrasco

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 3, 2026 7.00pm
Al Quadisiya 3 - 1 Al-Nassr
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw has a probability of 15.85% and a win for Al Shabab has a probability of 13.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.39%) , while for a Al Shabab win it is 2-1 (3.93%).

Result

Al Shabab 13.32% (-0.33)
Draw 15.85% (-0.17)
Al-Nassr 70.82% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.06% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.87% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 11.13% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 73.08% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 26.92% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 50.34% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 49.66% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 36.97% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 63.03% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Al Shabab 17.32% (-0.04)
Draw 30.83% (-0.15)
Al-Nassr 51.85% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Al Shabab 26.49% (-0.27)
No Goal 2.87% (+0.03)
Al-Nassr 70.64% (+0.24)

Corners

Over 8 69.58% (-0.63)
Equal 8 9.84% (+0.11)
Under 8 20.57% (+0.50)
Over 9 58.55% (-0.68)
Equal 9 11.04% (+0.07)
Under 9 30.41% (+0.61)
Over 10.5 47.23% (-0.70)
Under 10.5 52.77% (+0.70)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 1.5 21.51% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 78.49% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 6.94% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 93.06% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 1.88% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 98.12% (+0.21)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 90.26% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 9.74% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 73.13% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 26.87% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 49.82% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 50.18% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 28.13% (+0.52)
Under 3.5 71.87% (-0.52)

Score analysis

Al Shabab 13.34%
Draw 15.86%
Al-Nassr 70.82%
Al Shabab
2-1 @ 3.93% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 2.61% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 1.62% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.18)
Other @ 1.7% (-0.18)
Total : 13.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.39% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 2.87% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.03)
Total : 15.86%
Al-Nassr
1-2 @ 9.32% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 8.52% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 7.77% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 7.41% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 5.67% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 4.18% (-0.19)
Other @ 27.95% (+0.54)
Total : 70.82%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 16
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Al-Awwal Park
  • Saad Yaslam 2' goal
  • Saad Balobaid 2' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 8' goal
  • Abdulrahman Ghareeb 65' yellowcard
  • Saad Al-Nasser 65' yellowcard
  • Abdulrahman Ghareeb 76' goal
  • Ali Al-Hassan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nader Al-Sharari 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Simakan 31' (OG)
  • goal Carlos 53'
  • goal Carlos Júnior 53'
  • yellowcard Faisal Al-Subiani 72'
  • yellowcard Abdulaziz Al-Othman 83'
  • yellowcard Nawaf Al-Sadi 83'
  • yellowcard Ali Makki 84'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al-Shwirekh 84'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 24
Mar 7, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Mohamed Simakan 37' yellowcard
  • Ayman Yahya 45'+2' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 45'+7' goal
  • Mohammed Abdulhakim Al Fatil 52' redcard
  • Jhon Duran 87' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 12'
  • goal Abderrazak Hamdallah 44'
  • goal Mohammed Al Shwirekh 67'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 87'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al Shwirekh 90'+6'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 28' yellowcard
  • Hussain Al-Sibyani 45' yellowcard
  • Ali Al Hassan 90' goal
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Salem Al-Najdi 31'
  • yellowcard Anderson Talisca 50'
  • goal Aymeric Laporte 69'
  • yellowcard Ali Alawjami 79'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 90'+5'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 90'+7'
  • redcard Mohamed Simakan 90'+12'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 21
Feb 25, 2024 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
  • Yannick Carrasco 26' yellowcard
  • Romain Saiss 51' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 45'+8' goal
  • Carlos 67' goal
  • Nader Al-Sharari 88' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Radif 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Abdullah Radif 90'+12' redcard
  • goal 10'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 21'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 21'
  • goal Anderson Talisca 46'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 45'+5'
  • goal Anderson Talisca 86'
  • yellowcard Nawaf Boushal 90'+6'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Mrsool Park
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 13' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 38' goal
  • Sadio Mane 41' goal
  • Sadio Mane 43' yellowcard
  • Sultan Al-Ghanam 80' goal
  • Nawaf Boushal 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hussain Alsebyani 29'
  • yellowcard Nader Al-Sharari 33'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cuellar 37'
  • yellowcard Iago Santos 43'
  • yellowcard Hattan Babhir 77'
  • redcard Ever Banega 78'