Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 70.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.73% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%) , while for a Al Shabab win it was 2-1 (3.9%).