Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 2-1 (5.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.