Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Ettifaq win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 2-1 (6.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.