Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.