Saudi Pro League Gameweek 32
May 11, 2026 5.50pm
King Khalid Sport City Stadium

NEOM SC vs Al Shabab - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 2, 2026 4.50pm
Al Fateh 2 - 2 NEOM SC
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Said Benrahma

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 7, 2026 7.00pm
Al Shabab 2 - 4 Al-Nassr
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Yannick Carrasco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NEOM SC win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Al Shabab has a probability of 32.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Al Shabab win is 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

NEOM SC 42.22% (+1.26)
Draw 25.01% (-0.07)
Al Shabab 32.77% (-1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.06% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.6% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 20.4% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 56.79% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 43.21% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 33.58% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 66.42% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 19.16% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 80.84% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

NEOM SC 32.97% (+0.30)
Draw 41.36% (+0.33)
Al Shabab 25.67% (-0.63)

Team To Score First

NEOM SC 47.68% (+0.69)
No Goal 5.89% (-0.19)
Al Shabab 46.43% (-0.51)

Corners

Over 8 57.34% (-0.39)
Equal 8 12.32% (+0.14)
Under 8 30.34% (+0.27)
Over 9 44.78% (-0.48)
Equal 9 12.56% (+0.10)
Under 9 42.66% (+0.39)
Over 10.5 33.15% (-0.54)
Under 10.5 66.85% (+0.54)

NEOM SC Goals

Over 1.5 44.7% (+1.22)
Under 1.5 55.3% (-1.22)
Over 2.5 19.82% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 80.18% (-0.94)
Over 3.5 7.07% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 92.93% (-0.43)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5 68.84% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 31.16% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 36.82% (-0.87)
Under 1.5 63.18% (+0.87)
Over 2.5 14.93% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 85.07% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 4.42% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 95.58% (+0.24)

Score analysis

NEOM SC 42.22%
Draw 25.01%
Al Shabab 32.77%
NEOM SC
2-1 @ 9.14% (+0.14)
1-0 @ 8.08% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.59% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.65% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 3.6% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.16% (+0.12)
Other @ 7% (+0.41)
Total : 42.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.07% (+0.04)
Total : 25.01%
Al Shabab
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.12)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.18)
Other @ 4.35% (-0.27)
Total : 32.77%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 15
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Al-Awwal Park
  • Hammam Al-Hammami 4' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 57' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 61' goal
  • Nawaf Alsadi 78' yellowcard
  • Nawaf Al-Sadi 78' yellowcard
  • Ali Makki 87' yellowcard
  • Faisal Al Sibyani 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Faisal Al-Subiani 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Saimon Bouabre 6'
  • goal Saïmon Bouabré 6'
  • goal Said Benrahma 49'
  • goal Saïd Benrahma 49'
  • yellowcard Salman Al-Faraj 75'
  • yellowcard Islam Hawsawi 83'
  • yellowcard Alaa Hejji 83'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Abdoh Jaber 83'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Abdu 83'