Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 9.00am
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Penafiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 12, 2026 6.00pm
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Santos

Penafiel

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw has a probability of 23.54% and a win for Penafiel has a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (11.02%) and 2-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Penafiel win it is 0-1 (5.8%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 58.37% (-0.02)
Draw 23.54% (+0.11)
Penafiel 18.09% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.34% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.41% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 25.59% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 50.12% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 49.88% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 26.98% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 72.97% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 84% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 38.69% (+0.06)
Draw 44.64% (-0.11)
Penafiel 16.67% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 60.39% (-0.37)
No Goal 7.25% (+0.08)
Penafiel 32.36% (+0.30)

Corners

Over 8 50.92% (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.26% (-0.22)
Over 9 39.52% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.4% (+0.02)
Under 9 49.08% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 29.38% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 70.62% (-0.15)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 51.96% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.04% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.19% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.81% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.81% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.19% (+0.04)

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5 53.98% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 46.02% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 20.19% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 79.81% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 5.47% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 94.53% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.22% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.78% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 58.37%
Draw 23.56%
Penafiel 18.09%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.56% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 11.02% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.34% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.09% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.8% (-0.03)
Total : 58.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.25% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.56%
Penafiel
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.21% (-0.04)
Total : 18.09%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Jan 11, 2024 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Joao Mendes 41' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mangas 48' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 74' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Teixeira 49'