Taca de Portugal
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Helder Suker Veiga Tavares
11'
-
Miguel Aires Fernandes de Oliveira
13'
-
Miguel Aires Fernandes de Oliveira
24'
-
Ruben Pereira
50'
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Ze Leite
58'
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Ewerton
70'
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Joao Pedro Pradiante Silva
103'
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Goncalo Nuno Cabral Henriques
105'
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Celso Sidnei Ribeiro Leitao
2'
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Pedro Bernardo do Rio
14'
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Tomas Alexandre Rente Azevedo
17'
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Andre Filipe Santos Amaral
27'
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Tomas Alexandre Rente Azevedo
44'
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Ewerton
76'
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Bernardo Diogo Fontes
76'
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Reko
90'+5'
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Goncalo Nuno Cabral Henriques
112'
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Nicolas Cristian de Souza
114'
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Nicolas Cristian de Souza
115'
Penafiel vs Lusitania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penafiel win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lusitania had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penafiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Lusitania win it was 0-1 (7.49%).
Result
Penafiel
53.87%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
25.21%
▲
(+0.09)
Lusitania
20.92%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
46.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.72%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
55.28%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
23.5%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
76.5%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
10.42%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
89.58%
▲
(+0.10)
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5
79.47%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
20.52%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
46.97%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
53.02%
▲
(+0.25)
Lusitania Goals
Over 0.5
58.58%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
41.41%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
22.08%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
77.92%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Penafiel
53.86%
Draw
25.2%
Lusitania
20.92%
Penafiel
1-0
@
13.46%
▲
(+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 53.86%
2-0 @ 10.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 53.86%
Draw
1-1
@
11.86%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.2%
Lusitania
0-1
@
7.49%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.92%
1-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.92%