Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 21, 2024 at 11am UK

Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril

Penafiel
2 - 3
Lusitania

Suker Veiga Tavares (11'), Leite (58')
Aires Fernandes de Oliveira (13'), Pereira (50'), Ewerton (70'), Pedro Pradiante Silva (103'), Nuno Cabral Henriques (105')

FT
(aet)

Sidnei Ribeiro Leitao (2'), Bernardo do Rio (14' pen.), Cristian de Souza (114' pen.)
Alexandre Rente Azevedo (17'), Filipe Santos Amaral (27'), Ewerton (76'), Diogo Fontes (76'), Reko (90+5'), Nuno Cabral Henriques (112'), Cristian de Souza (115')
Alexandre Rente Azevedo (44')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Penafiel and Lusitania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penafiel

Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Penafiel
Saturday, August 3 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Lusitania

Last Game: Lusitania 1-4 Benfica
Friday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penafiel win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lusitania had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penafiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Lusitania win it was 0-1 (7.49%).

Result
Penafiel	Draw	Lusitania
53.87% ( -0.21)	25.21% ( 0.08)	20.92% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 46.56% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.72% (

-0.18)

55.28% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

-0.15)

76.5% (

0.15)

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

-0.16)

20.52% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

-0.25)

53.02% (

0.25)

Lusitania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.58% (

0.02)

41.41% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.08% (

0.02)

77.92% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Penafiel 53.86%

Lusitania 20.92%

Draw 25.2%

Penafiel	Draw	Lusitania
1-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 53.86%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 20.92%