Primeira Liga
Aug 16, 2026 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Javi Sánchez 16' yellowcard
  • Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga 23' goal
  • José Fontán 30' goal
  • Iván Barbero 41' yellowcard
  • Iván Barbero 45'+1' goal
  • Dylan Nandín 75' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nandín 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga 13'
  • yellowcard Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues 44'
  • yellowcard Nile John 55'
  • yellowcard Leandro Santos 65'

Arouca vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 6.00pm
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Arouca

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 8.30pm
Moreirense 2 - 2 Braga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%).

Result

Arouca 43.61% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 27.09% ▲ (+0.09)
Moreirense 29.3% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.9% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 25.89% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 49.58% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 50.42% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 28.14% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 71.86% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 15.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 84.72% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Arouca 27.38%
Draw 48.94%
Moreirense 23.68%

Team To Score First

Arouca 49.25% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Moreirense 42.95% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 57.97% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.76%
Under 8 30.27% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 9 45.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 12.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 42.03% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 34.73% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 10.5 65.27% ▲ (+0.09)

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 42.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.65% ▼ (-0.01)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 64.77% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 35.23% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 30.8% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 69.2% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 10.89% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 89.11% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.04% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Arouca 43.6%
Draw 27.1%
Moreirense 29.3%
Arouca
1-0 @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 43.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.1%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 29.3%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Jimi Gower 58' yellowcard
  • Landerson 58' yellowcard
  • Landerson 59' yellowcard
  • Kevyn Monteiro 75' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Alonso Martín 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Puche 53'
  • goal Miguel Puche 67'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 73'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dante 86'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 86'
  • yellowcard Taichi Fukui 86'
  • yellowcard Yellu Santiago 86'
Primeira Liga
Nov 2, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2025 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Alfonso Trezza 37' yellowcard
  • Taichi Fukui 41' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 54' yellowcard
  • Jason 77' goal
  • redcard 50'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Luis Nlavo 9' goal
  • Alan 45'+2' goal
  • Lawrence Ofori 59' yellowcard
  • Madson 65' goal
  • goal David Simao 3'
  • yellowcard Mateus Quaresma 74'
  • yellowcard Chico Faria Camara Lamba 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Hernani Infande 10' goal
  • Lawrence Ofori 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 19'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2023 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Alfonso Trezza 37' yellowcard
  • Eboue Kouassi 46' yellowcard
  • goal Marcelo 39'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Antonisse 76'
  • redcard Jeremy Antonisse 89'