Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 6.00pm
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Arouca

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 8.30pm
Moreirense 2 - 2 Braga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 29.51% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 0-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result

Arouca 43.49% (+0.03)
Draw 27% (-0.02)
Moreirense 29.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.01% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.23% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 25.77% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 49.71% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 50.29% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 28.27% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 71.73% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.39% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 84.61% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Arouca 27.38% (-0.02)
Draw 48.94%
Moreirense 23.68% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Arouca 49.26% (-0.15)
No Goal 7.74% (-0.05)
Moreirense 43% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 58.1%
Equal 8 11.76% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.13%
Over 9 46.07% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.03% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.9%
Over 10.5 34.82% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 65.18% (-0.02)

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 42.52% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.48% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 18.17% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.34% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.66% (-0.04)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 64.96% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 35.04% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.01% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 68.99% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.03% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.97% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.08% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Arouca 43.5%
Draw 27%
Moreirense 29.52%
Arouca
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.4% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 6.24% (+0.05)
Total : 43.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.61% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 27%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.98% (+0.03)
Total : 29.52%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Jimi Gower 58' yellowcard
  • Landerson 58' yellowcard
  • Landerson 59' yellowcard
  • Kevyn Monteiro 75' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Alonso Martín 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Puche 53'
  • goal Miguel Puche 67'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 73'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dante 86'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 86'
  • yellowcard Taichi Fukui 86'
  • yellowcard Yellu Santiago 86'
Primeira Liga
Nov 2, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2025 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Alfonso Trezza 37' yellowcard
  • Taichi Fukui 41' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 54' yellowcard
  • Jason 77' goal
  • redcard 50'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Luis Nlavo 9' goal
  • Alan 45'+2' goal
  • Lawrence Ofori 59' yellowcard
  • Madson 65' goal
  • goal David Simao 3'
  • yellowcard Mateus Quaresma 74'
  • yellowcard Chico Faria Camara Lamba 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Hernani Infande 10' goal
  • Lawrence Ofori 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 19'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2023 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Alfonso Trezza 37' yellowcard
  • Eboue Kouassi 46' yellowcard
  • goal Marcelo 39'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Antonisse 76'
  • redcard Jeremy Antonisse 89'