Primeira Liga
Moreirense
May 16, 2026 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
AVS
  • Álvaro Martínez Navarro 62' yellowcard
  • Leandro Santos 62' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • Alan de Souza Guimarães 62' yellowcard
  • Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi 75' yellowcard
  • Luís Semedo 75' yellowcard
  • Luís Semedo 76' yellowcard
  • Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomané 73'
  • yellowcard Tiago Galletto López 73'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Pedro José da Silva Trigueira 83'
  • yellowcard Andre Green 83'
  • yellowcard Christian Neiva Afonso 85'

Moreirense vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Tondela 2 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Luis Semedo

AVS

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 6.00pm
AVS 3 - 1 Porto
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Tomane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for AVS had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Moreirense 46.48%
Draw 26.01% ▼ (-0.03)
AVS 27.51% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.37% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 25.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 50.64% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 49.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 28.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 71.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 16.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.84% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 32.8%
Draw 45.89%
AVS 21.31%

Team To Score First

Moreirense 53.38% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 7.34% ▼ (-0.04)
AVS 39.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.7%
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 33.64%
Over 9 43.1%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 45.3%
Over 10.5 32.51%
Under 10.5 67.49%

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 44.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 79.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.47% ▼ (-0.04)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 62.57% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 37.43% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.7% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Moreirense 46.49%
Draw 26.01%
AVS 27.51%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 10.72% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 46.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26.01%
AVS
0-1 @ 7.39%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.51%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
AVS
Jan 3, 2026 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Moreirense
  • Óscar Perea 46' yellowcard
  • Jordi Escobar 56' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Pinto Mendonça 56' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Henrique Giordano Amaro Assunção da Silva 56' yellowcard
  • Ânderson Miguel da Silva 70' yellowcard
  • goal Travassos 12'
  • goal Guilherme Schettine Guimarães 50'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Sousa Pereira Brites Martins 64'
  • yellowcard Landerson 75'
  • yellowcard Luís Semedo 75'
  • yellowcard Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi 75'
  • yellowcard Jimi Gower 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
AVS
May 17, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Moreirense
  • Kiki Afonso 8' yellowcard
  • Fernando Fonseca 48' yellowcard
  • Ze Luis 51' yellowcard
  • Kiki Afonso 54' redcard
  • Tiago Galletto 73' yellowcard
  • Tunde Akinsola 82' yellowcard
  • Vasco Lopes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Vasco Lopes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos 7'
  • goal Alan 17'
  • goal Cedric Teguia 25'
  • goal Joel Jorquera 50'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Martins 66'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Buta 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Moreirense
Jan 4, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
AVS
  • Alan 9' goal
  • Dinis Pinto 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gabrielzinho 78' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ignacio Rodriguez Elduayen 7'
  • goal Jaume Grau 45'
  • yellowcard Baptiste Roux 56'
  • yellowcard Jorge Teixeira 79'
  • yellowcard Nene 85'
  • yellowcard Luis Silva 90'+6'

Form Data

Tondela 2 - 0 Moreirense
Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela Amadora
Benfica 4 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Estoril
Famalicao 1 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 0 - 1 Braga
AVS 3 - 1 Porto
Nacional 1 - 2 AVS
AVS 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Rio Ave 2 - 2 AVS
AVS 1 - 1 Guimaraes
Gil Vicente 3 - 0 AVS