Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 0 - 0 AVS

Braga

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 2 - 2 Estrela Amadora

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw has a probability of 24.95% and a win for Moreirense has a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a Moreirense win it is 1-0 (6.72%).

Result

Moreirense 24.78% (-0.21)
Draw 24.95% (-0.11)
Braga 50.27% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.89% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.39% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 25.61% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 50.78% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 49.18% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 28.36% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 71.61% (-0.44)
Over 4.5 16.29% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 83.71% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 18.52% (+0.01)
Draw 46.17% (-0.02)
Braga 35.31% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Moreirense 35.21% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.7% (-0.11)
Braga 57.09% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 43.48% (-0.03)
Equal 8 12.37% (-0.02)
Under 8 44.15% (+0.02)
Over 9 32.23% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.01)
Under 9 56.52% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 22.82% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 77.18% (+0.02)

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 26.81% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 73.19% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.26% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.74% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.6% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.4% (-0.04)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 77.85% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 22.15% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 46.86% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 53.14% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 21.84% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 78.16% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 8.14% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 91.86% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Moreirense 24.79%
Draw 24.95%
Braga 50.27%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.63% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.87% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.53% (+0.03)
Total : 24.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.95%
Braga
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.59% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 8.64% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.88% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.82% (+0.05)
Other @ 8.07% (+0.20)
Total : 50.27%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Mateja Stjepanović 67' yellowcard
  • Kevyn Monteiro 67' yellowcard
  • Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi 67' yellowcard
  • Kevyn Monteiro 68' yellowcard
  • Mateja Stjepanović 68' yellowcard
  • Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi 68' yellowcard
  • Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva 72' yellowcard
  • goal Fran Navarro 24'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodrigues 75'
  • yellowcard Mario Dorgeles 75'
  • yellowcard Mario Dorgeles 76'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodrigues 76'
  • yellowcard Amine El Ouazzani 85'
  • yellowcard Amine El Ouazzani 86'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Moscardo 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Moscardo 90'+3'
Primeira Liga
Nov 9, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2025 6.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Guilherme Schettine 4' goal
  • Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 43' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Moutinho 66'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Gabri Martinez 43' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 56' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 76' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo 25'
  • goal Luis Nlavo 53'
  • yellowcard Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 82'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 10, 2024 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • goal L. Asue 57'
  • goal L. Asue 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Abel Ruiz 8' goal
  • Paulo Oliveira 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 34'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 36'