Primeira Liga
May 16, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Gabri Martínez 15' goal
  • Leonardo Lelo 46' yellowcard
  • Gorby 68' yellowcard
  • António Gil 80' yellowcard
  • João Carvalho 80' yellowcard
  • Jonatás Noro 84' yellowcard
  • Jonatás Noro 85' yellowcard
  • Pau Víctor 90' yellowcard
  • goal Stefan Leković 5'
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 68'
  • yellowcard Leandro Antonetti 68'
  • yellowcard Robinho 68'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 77'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 78'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 79'
  • yellowcard Jorge Meireles 90'+1'
  • goal Stefan Leković 90'+6'

Braga vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Benfica 2 - 2 Braga
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Abraham Marcus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.78% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 12.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Braga 65.39%
Draw 21.78%
Estrela Amadora 12.86% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.27% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.79% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 27.21% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.66% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.34% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.31% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.69% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.35% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.65% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Braga 48.09%
Draw 37.9%
Estrela Amadora 14.01%

Team To Score First

Braga 68.25%
No Goal 8.01%
Estrela Amadora 23.74%

Corners

Over 8 48.31%
Equal 8 13%
Under 8 38.68%
Over 9 36.04%
Equal 9 12.27%
Under 9 51.69%
Over 10.5 25.5%
Under 10.5 74.5%

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 56.15% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 43.85% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 29.47% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 70.53% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.66% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 87.34% (-0.01)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 43.58% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 56.42% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 14.72% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 85.28% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.08% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 95.92% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.93% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.07% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Braga 65.38%
Draw 21.78%
Estrela Amadora 12.87%
Braga
1-0 @ 14.54% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 13.15%
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 8.28%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 12.47% (+0.01)
Total : 65.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.78%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 4.69%
1-2 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.74% (+0.02)
Total : 12.87%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2026 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
  • Kikas 16' goal
  • Guilherme Montóia 56' yellowcard
  • Jorge Meireles 56' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral  69' goal
  • Abraham Marcus 73' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 79' yellowcard
  • Ianis Stoica 80' yellowcard
  • Alisson Souza de Jesus 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard João Moutinho 12'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 46'
  • goal Fran Navarro 51'
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 64'
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 68'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martínez 68'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodrigues 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Leonel Bucca 84' yellowcard
  • Nilton Varela 87' yellowcard
  • Manu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabri Martinez 79'
  • goal Amine El Ouazzani 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Amine El Ouazzani 53' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 67' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 86' yellowcard
  • Joao Marques 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Keliano 45'
  • goal Kikas 80'
  • yellowcard Nani 86'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 90'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'
  • yellowcard Miguel Lopes 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Simon Banza 57' goal
  • Joe Mendes 69' yellowcard
  • Simon Banza 82' yellowcard
  • Bruma 84' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Leo Cordeiro 17' yellowcard
  • Kikas 75' goal
  • Jean Felipe 79' goal
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 13'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 44'
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 49'
  • goal Simon Banza 68'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 75'
  • yellowcard Serdar Saatci 78'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 90'+4'