Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.78% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 12.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.