Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Estrela Amadora
May 11, 2026 8.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Gomes
Famalicao
  • Leandro Antonetti 73' yellowcard
  • Tom Moustier 79' yellowcard
  • Kevin Höög Jansson 79' yellowcard
  • Kevin Höög Jansson 80' yellowcard
  • Tom Moustier 80' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Schappo 88' yellowcard
  • Max Scholze 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Umar Abubakar 83'
  • yellowcard Roméo Beney 83'

Estrela Amadora vs Famalicao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Abraham Marcus

Famalicao

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 6.00pm
Famalicao 2 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Mohamed Yassir Zabiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Estrela Amadora 26.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 24.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Famalicao 48.53% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 25.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 50.6% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 49.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 28.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.54% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.43% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 22.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 46.1%
Famalicao 31.57% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 35.95% ▼ (-0.10)
No Goal 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Famalicao 56.92% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 60.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 27.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 47.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 12.42% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 39.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 35.99% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 64.01% ▼ (-0.15)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 28.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.58%
Under 2.5 90.42%
Over 3.5 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.48% ▲ (+0.02)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5 77.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 22.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 46.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 53.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 20.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 79.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.94% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 26.62%
Draw 24.85%
Famalicao 48.53%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 7.46%
2-1 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 26.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.85%
Famalicao
0-1 @ 10.54% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-2 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 48.53%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Famalicao
Dec 27, 2025 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
Estrela Amadora
  • Luan Patrick 8' goal
  • Marcos Vinicios 27' goal
  • Gustavo Sa 36' yellowcard
  • Romeo Beney 84' yellowcard
  • Gil Dias 87' redcard
  • Gil Dias 90' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Gil Dias 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kikas 10'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Encada 18'
  • goal Jovane Cabral 24'
  • goal Jovane Cabral 51'
  • yellowcard Atanas Atanasov Chernev 81'
  • yellowcard Atanas Atanasov Chernev 82'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 82'
  • yellowcard Ianis Stoica 88'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard Ianis Stoica 89'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Montoia 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Famalicao
Jan 25, 2025 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Estrela Amadora
  • Rodrigo Pinheiro Ferreira 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira 62'
  • yellowcard Diogo Martins Travassos 71'
  • yellowcard Marko Gudzulic 75'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Estrela Amadora
Aug 19, 2024 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Famalicao
  • Manuel Keliano 26' yellowcard
  • Kikas 64' yellowcard
  • Danilo Veiga 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Armando Evangelista 27'
  • goal Marcos Vinicios 36'
  • yellowcard Ivan Zlobin 66'
  • goal Zaydou Youssouf 83'
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Famalicao
Mar 16, 2024 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Estrela Amadora
  • Riccieli 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kialonda Gaspar 61'
  • yellowcard Regis N'do 66'
  • yellowcard Ruben Lima 71'
  • yellowcard Miguel Lopes 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Estrela Amadora
Oct 29, 2023 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Famalicao
  • Mansur 17' yellowcard
  • Kialonda Gaspar 25' yellowcard
  • Miguel Lopes 68' yellowcard
  • Andre Luiz 74' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan 7'
  • redcard Riccieli 33'
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 83'

Form Data

Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Porto
Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Nacional 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 4 - 0 Casa Pia
Famalicao 2 - 2 Benfica
Estoril 0 - 1 Famalicao
Braga 2 - 2 Famalicao
Famalicao 1 - 1 Moreirense
Porto 2 - 2 Famalicao
Famalicao 1 - 0 Nacional