Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2026 4.30pm
Old Trafford

Manchester United vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
Everton 2 - 2 Man Utd
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Bruno Fernandes 

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Man City 1 - 0 Coventry
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Rayan Cherki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 33.23% and a draw has a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 2-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.1%).

Result

Manchester United 33.23%
Draw 23.31%
Manchester City 43.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.65%
Under 1.5 18.35%
Over 2.5 61.05%
Under 2.5 38.95%
Over 3.5 38.89%
Under 3.5 61.11%
Over 4.5 24.04%
Under 4.5 75.96%

First Half Winner

Manchester United 31.16%
Draw 36.64%
Manchester City 32.2%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 49.24%
No Goal 4.96%
Manchester City 45.8%

Corners

Over 8 52.83%
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 35.1%
Over 9 41%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 47.17%
Over 10.5 30.36%
Under 10.5 69.64%

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 38.91%
Under 1.5 61.09%
Over 2.5 17.24%
Under 2.5 82.76%
Over 3.5 6.37%
Under 3.5 93.63%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 76.07%
Under 0.5 23.93%
Over 1.5 47.83%
Under 1.5 52.17%
Over 2.5 23.29%
Under 2.5 76.71%
Over 3.5 9.25%
Under 3.5 90.75%

Score analysis

Manchester United 33.24%
Draw 23.31%
Manchester City 43.48%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 7.41%
1-0 @ 6.32%
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.3%
Other @ 6.11%
Total : 33.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.31%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-1 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 4.97%
2-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 3.59%
Other @ 8.99%
Total : 43.48%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Bryan Mbeumo 65' goal
  • Matheus Cunha 71' yellowcard
  • Patrick Dorgu 76' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 81' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ayden Heaven 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 46'
  • yellowcard Nico O'Reilly 46'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 80'
  • yellowcard Rayan Aït-Nouri 80'
  • yellowcard Divine Mukasa 80'
Premier League
Sep 14, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2025 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Diogo Dalot 67' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 75' yellowcard
  • Leny Yoro 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 1'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 46'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Josko Gvardiol 36' goal
  • Kyle Walker 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rasmus Hojlund 40'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 88'
  • goal Amad Diallo 90'
Community Shield
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Matheus Nunes 68' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 85' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 89' goal
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 82'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 85'
FA Cup
May 25, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Jeremy Doku 87' goal
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 30'
  • goal Kobbie Mainoo 39'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 90'+7'