Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
Hill Dickinson Stadium

Everton vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Everton
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 4.30pm
Man Utd 5 - 2 Ipswich
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Bruno Fernandes 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Everton has a probability of 28.54% and a draw has a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Everton win is 1-0 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).

Result

Everton 28.54% (-0.06)
Draw 26.02% (+0.08)
Manchester United 45.44% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.79% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 26.21% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 49.48% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 50.52% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 27.48% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 72.52% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 15.07% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 84.93% (+0.23)

First Half Winner

Everton 23.54% (+0.04)
Draw 42.08% (-0.03)
Manchester United 34.38% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Everton 38.85%
No Goal 7.59% (+0.09)
Manchester United 53.56% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 54.87% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.96% (+0.05)
Under 8 33.18% (-0.03)
Over 9 42.96% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.91% (+0.03)
Under 9 45.13% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 32.1% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 67.9% (+0.07)

Everton Goals

Over 1.5 29.37% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 70.63% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 10.15% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 89.85% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 2.77% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.23% (+0.07)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 75.27% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 24.73% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 43.19% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 56.81% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 19.24% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 80.76% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 7.15% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 92.85% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Everton 28.54%
Draw 26.03%
Manchester United 45.44%
Everton
1-0 @ 8.08% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.62% (-0.05)
Total : 28.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.59% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 26.03%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 10.55% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.83% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.04)
Other @ 7% (-0.09)
Total : 45.44%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 23, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hill Dickinson Stadium
  • Tyrique George 73' yellowcard
  • Beto 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Sesko 58'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 71'
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 78'
  • yellowcard Ayden Heaven 90'+5'
Premier League
Nov 24, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2025 10.00am
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Goodison Park
  • Beto 19' goal
  • Abdoulaye Doucoure 33' goal
  • Jake O'Brien 45'+3' yellowcard
  • James Garner 63' yellowcard
  • Ashley Young 79' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 72'
  • goal Manuel Ugarte 80'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Obi-Martin 90'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Marcus Rashford 34' goal
  • Joshua Zirkzee 41' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 46' goal
  • Kobbie Mainoo 49' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Martinez 51' yellowcard
  • Joshua Zirkzee 64' goal
  • yellowcard Vitaliy Mykolenko 39'
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 57'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 67'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Bruno Fernandes 12' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 36' goal
  • Scott McTominay 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amadou Onana 27'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Doucoure 34'