Premier League Gameweek 6
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Stadium of Light

Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 2.00pm
Man City 5 - 3 Sunderland
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Brighton 3 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Pascal Groß

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 33.38% and a draw has a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 2-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.68%).

Result

Sunderland 33.38% ▼ (-0.97)
Draw 25.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion 41.52% ▲ (+0.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.1% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.2% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 22.8% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 53.93% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 46.13% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 30.85% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 69.14% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 17.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 82.52% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Sunderland 26.97% ▲ (+1.41)
Draw 40.25% ▲ (+1.11)
Brighton & Hove Albion 32.78% ▼ (-2.51)

Team To Score First

Sunderland 46.32% ▲ (+0.79)
No Goal 6.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Brighton & Hove Albion 47.57% ▼ (-0.83)

Corners

Over 8 63.02% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 25.89% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 9 51.23% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 9 11.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 36.98% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 10.5 39.76% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 10.5 60.24% ▼ (-0.16)

Sunderland Goals

Over 1.5 35.87% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 1.5 64.13% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 2.5 13.98% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 2.5 86.02% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 3.5 4.43% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.57% ▲ (+0.24)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 74.44% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 0.5 25.56% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 1.5 42.3% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 1.5 57.7% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 2.5 18.6% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 81.4% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 6.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.45% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sunderland 33.38%
Draw 25.09%
Brighton & Hove Albion 41.52%
Sunderland
2-1 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 33.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.09%
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-1 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.38)
1-2 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 41.52%

Head to Head

Premier League
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Luke O'Nien 64' yellowcard
  • Eliezer Mayenda 78' yellowcard
  • Dennis Cirkin 85' yellowcard
  • goal Yankuba Minteh 58'
  • yellowcard Maxim De Cuyper 76'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 88'
  • yellowcard Joël Veltman 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Matt O'Riley 90'+5'
Premier League
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brajan Gruda 19' yellowcard
  • Diego Coppola 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 79'
  • yellowcard Enzo Le Fee 86'
Championship
Feb 19, 2005 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Adam Virgo 4' yellowcard
  • Richard Carpenter 26' goal
  • Adam Virgo 30' redcard
  • Mark McCammon 43' goal
  • Leon Knight 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen Wright 48'
  • yellowcard George McCartney 64'
  • goal Julio Arca 80'
Championship
Oct 30, 2004 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jeff Whitley 37' yellowcard
  • Julio Arca 64' goal
  • Julio Arca 66' yellowcard
  • Liam Lawrence 82' goal
  • yellowcard Guy Butters 59'