Premier League Gameweek 5
Brighton
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Arsenal
  • Pascal Groß 31' goal
  • Charalampos Kostoulas 33' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Kostoulas 45' goal
  • Ferdi Kadıoğlu 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Chema Andrés 57' goal
  • Pascal Struijk 71' yellowcard
  • Maxim De Cuyper 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 90'+7'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.00pm
Coventry 0 - 5 Brighton
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Pascal Groß

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 8.00pm
Sunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Bukayo Saka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 28.86% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 27.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Arsenal 44.07% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.88% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 25.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.31%
Under 4.5 84.69%

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 26.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 42.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Arsenal 30.54% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 43.96% ▼ (-0.16)
No Goal 7.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Arsenal 48.51% ▲ (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 47.68% ▲ (+0.34)
Equal 8 12.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 39.39% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 9 35.5% ▲ (+0.28)
Equal 9 12.18% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 52.32% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 10.5 25.05% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 10.5 74.95% ▼ (-0.19)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 30.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 69.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 75.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 24.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 43.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 56.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 81.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 28.87%
Draw 27.06%
Arsenal 44.08%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.06%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.63%
Other @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 44.08%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 29
Brighton
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Arsenal
  • Yankuba Minteh 46' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 69' yellowcard
  • Joël Veltman 77' yellowcard
  • Yasin Ayari 77' yellowcard
  • H. Howell 77' yellowcard
  • Yasin Ayari 78' yellowcard
  • H. Howell 78' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 9'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 59'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 60'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 64'
  • yellowcard Christian Nørgaard 80'
Premier League
Arsenal
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Brighton
  • Martin Odegaard 14' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 52' goal
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 69' yellowcard
  • Piero Hincapie 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 50'
  • yellowcard Diego Coppola 56'
  • goal Diego Gomez 64'
EFL Cup
Arsenal
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
Premier League Gameweek 20
Brighton
Jan 4, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
Arsenal
  • Joao Pedro 61' goal
  • Joel Veltman 64' yellowcard
  • Yankuba Minteh 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Nwaneri 16'
  • yellowcard Ethan Nwaneri 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 84'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 90'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Arsenal
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Brighton
  • Kai Havertz 38' goal
  • Declan Rice 42' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 49' redcard
  • Jurrien Maduro 70' yellowcard
  • David Raya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 43'
  • goal Joao Pedro 58'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 70'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Brighton
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Arsenal
  • Carlos Balepa 76' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 33'
  • goal Kai Havertz 62'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 79'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 86'
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+5'

Form Data

Man Utd 2 - 3 Brighton
Coventry 0 - 5 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 1 Leeds
Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton
Brighton 4 - 0 Tromso
Brighton 4 - 0 Aston Villa
Ipswich 2 - 4 Arsenal
Sunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal
Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 3 - 0 Coventry

Build-up

Feature
Feature
Predicted Lineups