Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Pascal Groß 38' yellowcard
  • Maxim De Cuyper 49' yellowcard
  • Luka Vuskovic 71' goal
  • Promise David 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 6'
  • goal Jayden Bogle 15'
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 64'
  • yellowcard Harry Wilson 85'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Jack Hinshelwood

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Leeds 1 - 1 Brentford
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.32% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 60.45% ▲ (+0.57)
Draw 23.32% ▼ (-0.27)
Leeds United 16.23% ▼ (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.78% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 25.58% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 51.2% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 48.8% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 29.95% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 3.5 70.05% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 4.5 18.32% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 81.68% ▼ (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.6% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 39.4% ▲ (+0.11)
Leeds United 15% ▼ (-0.45)

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 64.14% ▲ (+0.25)
No Goal 7.26% ▼ (-0.12)
Leeds United 28.6% ▼ (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 56.21% ▼ (-0.64)
Equal 8 12.21% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 8 31.58% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 9 43.9% ▼ (-0.83)
Equal 9 12.31% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 9 43.79% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 10.5 32.6% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 10.5 67.4% ▲ (+0.94)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 54.24% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 45.76% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 2.5 28.2% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 71.8% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 12.19% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 3.5 87.81% ▼ (-0.38)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 50.88% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 0.5 49.12% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 19.37% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 80.63% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 5.15% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 94.85% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 1.2% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.8% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 60.45%
Draw 23.31%
Leeds United 16.23%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 12.91% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 12.09% ▲ (+0.41)
Total : 60.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.31%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 16.23%

Head to Head

Premier League
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Wilfried Gnonto 60' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 60' yellowcard
  • Lukas Nmecha 60' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 74' yellowcard
  • Sam Byram 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Gómez 65'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 65'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Kostoulas 82'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 82'
  • yellowcard Solly March 90'+3'
Premier League
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrick Bamford 40' goal
  • Jack Harrison 78' goal
  • goal Alexis Mac Allister 33'
  • goal Solly March 61'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pascal Gross 66' goal
  • Adam Webster 81' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pascal Struijk 8'
  • yellowcard Marc Roca 34'
  • yellowcard Brenden Aaronson 37'
  • yellowcard Jesse Marsch 76'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Junior Firpo 71' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo 81' yellowcard
  • Liam Cooper 84' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 90'+2' goal
  • goal Danny Welbeck 21'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 65'
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yves Bissouma 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 5'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 66'
  • yellowcard Jamie Shackleton 85'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups