Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Jack Hinshelwood

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Leeds 1 - 1 Brentford
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Anton Stach

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw has a probability of 23.31% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Leeds United win it is 0-1 (5.46%).

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 60.48% (+0.09)
Draw 23.31% (-0.18)
Leeds United 16.2% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.46% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.07% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 25.93% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 50.51% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 49.52% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 28.93% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 71.07% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 17.63% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 82.37% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.22% (+0.04)
Draw 39.44% (+0.33)
Leeds United 15.34% (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 64.27% (+0.49)
No Goal 7.42% (-0.17)
Leeds United 28.31% (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 54.96% (-0.54)
Equal 8 12.06% (-0.02)
Under 8 32.97% (+0.55)
Over 9 42.93% (-0.47)
Equal 9 12.03% (-0.08)
Under 9 45.04% (+0.54)
Over 10.5 31.95% (-0.37)
Under 10.5 68.05% (+0.36)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 53.85% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 46.15% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 27.57% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 72.43% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 11.72% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 88.28% (-0.30)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 50.68% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 49.32% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 19.03% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 80.97% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 4.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.12% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.88% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 60.49%
Draw 23.32%
Leeds United 16.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 13.06% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 10.72% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.61% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.65% (+0.31)
Total : 60.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.46% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 23.32%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.26% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.22% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.1% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.05% (+0.04)
Total : 16.2%

Head to Head

Premier League
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Wilfried Gnonto 60' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 60' yellowcard
  • Lukas Nmecha 60' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 74' yellowcard
  • Sam Byram 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Gómez 65'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 65'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Kostoulas 82'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 82'
  • yellowcard Solly March 90'+3'
Premier League
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrick Bamford 40' goal
  • Jack Harrison 78' goal
  • goal Alexis Mac Allister 33'
  • goal Solly March 61'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pascal Gross 66' goal
  • Adam Webster 81' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pascal Struijk 8'
  • yellowcard Marc Roca 34'
  • yellowcard Brenden Aaronson 37'
  • yellowcard Jesse Marsch 76'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Junior Firpo 71' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo 81' yellowcard
  • Liam Cooper 84' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 90'+2' goal
  • goal Danny Welbeck 21'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 65'
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yves Bissouma 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 5'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 66'
  • yellowcard Jamie Shackleton 85'