Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
The City Ground

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Bournemouth

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
West Ham 3 - 0 Leeds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw has a probability of 26.75% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.6%) , while for a Leeds United win it is 0-1 (8.05%).

Result

Nottingham Forest 47.64%
Draw 26.75%
Leeds United 25.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.12%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.95% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 29.05% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 45.53% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.47% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.12% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 75.88% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.87% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.13% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 36.09% (+0.02)
Draw 41.23% (-0.02)
Leeds United 22.68%

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 54.07% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.48% (-0.03)
Leeds United 37.45% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.39% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 29.25% (-0.04)
Over 9 47.69% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 40.61% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 36.64% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 63.36% (-0.03)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 42.42% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 57.58% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.72% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.28% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.13% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.87% (-0.01)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 60% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 40% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 25.52% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.48% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.17% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.09% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.91% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 47.65%
Draw 26.77%
Leeds United 25.61%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.07%
Total : 47.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.48% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.82% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 26.77%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 25.61%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
  • Jayden Bogle 26' goal
  • Noah Okafor 30' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 49' goal
  • Daniel James 78' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 82' yellowcard
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lucca 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson  54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 67'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 67'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates  67'
  • yellowcard Luca Netz 76'
  • goal Lorenzo Lucca 86'
Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • goal Patrick Bamford 66'
  • goal Ian Poveda 85'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jack Harrison 20' goal
  • Luis Sinisterra 45'+1' goal
  • goal Orel Mangala 12'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brennan Johnson 14' goal
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT City Ground
  • Sammy Ameobi 31' goal
  • Matty Cash 44' yellowcard
  • Samba Sow 83' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walker 90' goal
  • Adama Diakhaby 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Dallas 35'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 55'
  • yellowcard Ben White 72'