Premier League Gameweek 1
Nott'm Forest
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
Leeds
  • Ola Aina  18' yellowcard
  • Jair Cunha  52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 32'
  • goal Anton Stach 88'

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Bournemouth

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
West Ham 3 - 0 Leeds
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Anton Stach

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.75% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%) , while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Nottingham Forest 47.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 26.75%
Leeds United 25.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.89% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 29.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 45.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.17% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 36.1%
Draw 41.22%
Leeds United 22.68%

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 54.16% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 8.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Leeds United 37.34% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.36%
Equal 8 11.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 29.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 47.67%
Equal 9 11.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 40.64%
Over 10.5 36.62%
Under 10.5 63.38%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 42.4% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 57.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 17.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.87% ▲ (+0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 59.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.1% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 25.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.12%
Under 2.5 91.88%
Over 3.5 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.93% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 47.66%
Draw 26.75%
Leeds United 25.55%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.54% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 47.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.75%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.55%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 25
Leeds
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
Nott'm Forest
  • Jayden Bogle 26' goal
  • Noah Okafor 30' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 49' goal
  • Daniel James 78' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 82' yellowcard
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lucca 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson  54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 67'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 67'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates  67'
  • yellowcard Luca Netz 76'
  • goal Lorenzo Lucca 86'
Premier League
Nott'm Forest
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
Club Friendlies 1
Nott'm Forest
Jul 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Leeds
  • goal Patrick Bamford 66'
  • goal Ian Poveda 85'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Leeds
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Nott'm Forest
  • Jack Harrison 20' goal
  • Luis Sinisterra 45'+1' goal
  • goal Orel Mangala 12'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Nott'm Forest
Feb 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Leeds
  • Brennan Johnson 14' goal
Championship Gameweek 31
Nott'm Forest
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT City Ground
Leeds
  • Sammy Ameobi 31' goal
  • Matty Cash 44' yellowcard
  • Samba Sow 83' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walker 90' goal
  • Adama Diakhaby 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Dallas 35'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 55'
  • yellowcard Ben White 72'

Form Data

Nott'm Forest 2 - 0 Brest
Nott'm Forest 2 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Barcelona 1 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Portimonense 0 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Leeds 4 - 0 Augsburg
Man Utd 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
Liverpool 2 - 4 Leeds
Sunderland 0 - 1 Leeds
Wrexham 0 - 0 Leeds

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups