EFL Cup
Aug 25, 2026 8.00pm
The City Ground

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 29.51% and a draw has a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.05%).

Result

Nottingham Forest 45.31% (-0.01)
Draw 25.13%
Leeds United 29.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.97%
Under 1.5 24.03%
Over 2.5 52.05%
Under 2.5 47.95%
Over 3.5 28.97%
Under 3.5 71.03%
Over 4.5 16.22%
Under 4.5 83.78%

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 35.04%
Draw 40.53%
Leeds United 24.43%

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 53.94%
No Goal 6.34%
Leeds United 39.72%

Corners

Over 8 57.45%
Equal 8 11.03%
Under 8 31.52%
Over 9 46.27%
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 42.55%
Over 10.5 35.81% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.18%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 44.09%
Under 1.5 55.91%
Over 2.5 19.08%
Under 2.5 80.92%
Over 3.5 6.94%
Under 3.5 93.06%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 65.07%
Under 0.5 34.93%
Over 1.5 31.38%
Under 1.5 68.62%
Over 2.5 11.83%
Under 2.5 88.17%
Over 3.5 3.56%
Under 3.5 96.44%

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 45.32%
Draw 25.13%
Leeds United 29.51%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 2.57%
Other @ 6.78%
Total : 45.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 7.44%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 29.51%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Ola Aina  18' yellowcard
  • Jair Cunha  52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 32'
  • goal Anton Stach 88'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
  • Jayden Bogle 26' goal
  • Noah Okafor 30' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 49' goal
  • Daniel James 78' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 82' yellowcard
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lucca 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson  54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 67'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 67'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates  67'
  • yellowcard Luca Netz 76'
  • goal Lorenzo Lucca 86'
Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • goal Patrick Bamford 66'
  • goal Ian Poveda 85'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jack Harrison 20' goal
  • Luis Sinisterra 45'+1' goal
  • goal Orel Mangala 12'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brennan Johnson 14' goal