Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm

Old Trafford

Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

L
W
D
W
L
L

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

W
D
L
W
W
D

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 33.23% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.76%).

Result

Manchester United 43.87%

Draw 22.9%

Brighton & Hove Albion 33.23%

Both Teams to Score:

61.24%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.56%

Under 1.5 17.44%

Over 2.5 62.95%

Under 2.5 37.05%

Over 3.5 40.23%

Under 3.5 59.77%

Over 4.5 25.91%

Under 4.5 74.09%

First Half Winner

Manchester United 33.43%

Draw 39.17%

Brighton & Hove Albion 27.4%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 51.49%

No Goal 4.74%

Brighton & Hove Albion 43.77%

Corners

Over 8 56.56%

Equal 8 11.43%

Under 8 32.02%

Over 9 45.03%

Equal 9 11.53%

Under 9 43.44%

Over 10.5 34.33%

Under 10.5 65.67%

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 48.34%

Under 1.5 51.66%

Over 2.5 24.6%

Under 2.5 75.4%

Over 3.5 10.66%

Under 3.5 89.34%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.81%

Under 0.5 31.19%

Over 1.5 39.57%

Under 1.5 60.43%

Over 2.5 17.93%

Under 2.5 82.07%

Over 3.5 6.97%

Under 3.5 93.03%

Score analysis

Manchester United 43.88%

Draw 22.9%

Brighton & Hove Albion 33.22%

Manchester United

2-1 @ 8.96%

1-0 @ 6.94%

2-0 @ 5.51%

3-1 @ 4.76%

3-2 @ 3.71%

3-0 @ 3.62%

Other @ 10.38%

Total : 43.88%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.76%

2-2 @ 6.27%

0-0 @ 4.74%

3-3 @ 1.85%

Other @ 0.28%

Total : 22.9%

Brighton & Hove Albion

1-2 @ 7.33%

0-1 @ 5.76%

0-2 @ 4.33%

1-3 @ 3.3%

2-3 @ 3%

0-3 @ 2.81%

Other @ 6.69%

Total : 33.22%

Head to Head

May 24, 2026 4.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 2

FT The American Express Community Stadium

Yankuba Minteh 46'
Solly March 59'
Carlos Baleba 59'
Charalampos Kostoulas 59'
Georginio Rutter 74'

Patrick Dorgu 33'
Bryan Mbeumo 44'
Bruno Fernandes 48'
S. Lacey 62'
Joshua Zirkzee 74'
T. Fletcher 74'
Leny Yoro 74'
Tyrell Malacia 82'

Jan 11, 2026 4.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Old Trafford

Shea Lacey 62'
Joshua Zirkzee 62'
Harry Maguire 79'
Casemiro 79'
Benjamin Sesko 85'

Brajan Gruda 12'
Danny Welbeck 64'
Jan Paul van Hecke 77'
Yasin Ayari 77'
Kaoru Mitoma 78'
Charalampos Kostoulas 83'
Tom Watson 90'+2'

Oct 25, 2025 5.30pm

4

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT Old Trafford

Bruno Fernandes 23'
Manuel Ugarte 61'
Harry Maguire 90'+5'
Leny Yoro 90'+8'

Yankuba Minteh 5'
Carlos Balepa 21'
Yankuba Minteh 43'
Kaoru Mitoma 60'
Georginio Rutter 76'
Solly March 90'+8'

Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Broadfield Stadium

Danny Welbeck 32'
Jan Paul van Hecke 89'
Joao Pedro 90'+5'

Amad Diallo 60'
Amad Diallo 76'
Kobbie Mainoo 78'

May 19, 2024 4.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT The American Express Community Stadium

Billy Gilmour 87'

Sofyan Amrabat 22'
Bruno Fernandes 45'+1'
Diogo Dalot 73'
Rasmus Hojlund 88'
Casemiro 90'+4'

Form Data

Man Utd 0 - 1 Man City

Man Utd 4 - 0 Sabah

Everton 2 - 2 Man Utd

Man Utd 5 - 2 Ipswich

Hull City 2 - 0 Man Utd

Man Utd 2 - 4 AC Milan

Coventry 0 - 5 Brighton

Brighton 1 - 1 Leeds

Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton

Brighton 4 - 0 Tromso

Brighton 4 - 0 Aston Villa

Tromso 0 - 0 Brighton