Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 13, 2026 8.00pm
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico

Manchester United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 29.2% and a draw has a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 0-1 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 45.82%
Draw 24.98%
Manchester United 29.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.3%
Under 1.5 25.7%
Over 2.5 50.94%
Under 2.5 49.06%
Over 3.5 29.96%
Under 3.5 70.04%
Over 4.5 17.62%
Under 4.5 82.38%

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 27.96%
Draw 41.08%
Manchester United 30.96%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 48.45%
No Goal 7.42%
Manchester United 44.13%

Corners

Over 8 53.03%
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 35.04%
Over 9 41.32%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 46.97%
Over 10.5 30.78%
Under 10.5 69.22%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 43.99%
Under 1.5 56.01%
Over 2.5 19.52%
Under 2.5 80.48%
Over 3.5 7.29%
Under 3.5 92.71%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 62.63%
Under 0.5 37.37%
Over 1.5 31.02%
Under 1.5 68.98%
Over 2.5 12.45%
Under 2.5 87.55%
Over 3.5 4.23%
Under 3.5 95.77%

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 45.82%
Draw 24.98%
Manchester United 29.2%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 7.1%
Total : 45.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 7.55%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 29.2%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Aug 1, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 30, 2022 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Thomas Lemar 23' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 35' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 41' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 84' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 86' goal
  • yellowcard Fred 28'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 41'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 54'
  • redcard Fred 90'+1'
Champions League
Mar 15, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nemanja Matic 81' yellowcard
  • Diogo Dalot 87' yellowcard
  • goal Renan Lodi 41'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 43'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 81'
Champions League
Feb 23, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joao Felix 7' goal
  • Hector Herrera 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 63' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 77' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 50'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 60'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 65'
  • yellowcard Fred 74'
  • goal Anthony Elanga 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 83'